Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.121986 0.135835 0.150010 0.165564 0.182115 0.199162 0.218010
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.106753 0.126106 0.146626 0.169875 0.195359 0.222324 0.252893
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.092664 0.115594 0.140694 0.169937 0.202806 0.238362 0.279485
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.083527 0.109462 0.138668 0.173522 0.213531 0.257598 0.309388
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.074673 0.102724 0.135190 0.174821 0.221199 0.273117 0.335002
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.066355 0.095823 0.130862 0.174568 0.226645 0.285819 0.357258
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.059850 0.090536 0.127959 0.175573 0.233234 0.299617 0.380652
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.053323 0.084641 0.123835 0.174694 0.237264 0.310211 0.400197
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.049516 0.081942 0.123427 0.178150 0.246347 0.326665 0.426575
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.045005 0.077910 0.121007 0.178836 0.251862 0.338756 0.447753
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.040755 0.073878 0.118297 0.178909 0.256435 0.349590 0.467370
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.036457 0.069413 0.114715 0.177607 0.259093 0.357966 0.483952
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.033339 0.066537 0.113251 0.179140 0.265514 0.371239 0.506891
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.031370 0.065230 0.113839 0.183324 0.275300 0.388692 0.535005
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.028249 0.061855 0.111312 0.183164 0.279385 0.399022 0.554419
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026505 0.060532 0.111614 0.186779 0.288345 0.415455 0.581394
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024271 0.058197 0.110292 0.188047 0.294159 0.427907 0.603471
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021833 0.055278 0.107928 0.187720 0.297765 0.437511 0.621997
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019939 0.053129 0.106588 0.188735 0.303091 0.449275 0.643226
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.017773 0.050260 0.103972 0.187789 0.305681 0.457473 0.659960
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016761 0.049462 0.104533 0.191392 0.314426 0.473614 0.686745
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.015245 0.047525 0.103168 0.192099 0.319164 0.484548 0.706957
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013739 0.045437 0.101435 0.192169 0.322961 0.494227 0.725576